Rents now rising at ten times the rate of last two years

By Farhana Hassanali-Hashmani
HassConsult

 

  • House prices remained resilient, despite the high mortgage rates, with asking prices up 1.3 per cent on previous quarter
  • Closing prices across all houses rose by 0.5 per cent
  • The strongest house price gains came from stand alone houses, where asking prices rose by a significant 2.9 per cent, reversing the price falls of last year
  • Town houses continued to track upwards steadily on asking prices, up 1.1 per cent on March prices, and 6.8 per cent on a year earlier
  • Asking rents are now climbing rapidly, at ten times the rate during 2010 and 2011
  • Asking rents across all properties were almost flat from September 2009 to September 2011, rising just 1.5 per cent over the two years
  • In the nine months since September last year, asking rents across all properties have risen by 7.9 per cent, with 6.6 percent of that increase in the first half of 2012
  • The rental rises have been sharpest for apartments, up 10.33 per cent in the nine months since September last year

 

 

Index Highlights:

THE HASS COMPOSITE SALES INDEX YEAR TO Q2
THE HASS COMPOSITE LETTINGS INDEX YEAR TO Q2

 

 

HassConsult today announces the results for the second quarter 2012 of its house price and rentals indices, revealing ongoing hikes in rentals against a backdrop of stable house prices. The rise in asking rentals is now running at 10 times the rate during 2010 and 2011, when rents were close to static. From September 2009 to September 2011, the asking prices for rents rose by just 1.5 per cent in total.

 

 

However, rising property costs, inflation and - seemingly instrumentally - interest rates, have led to a sharp take-off in rents, now sustained for three successive quarters. Since the end of September last year asking rents across all property types have risen by 7.9 per cent, with 6.6 per cent of that increase falling in the first half of 2012. The sharpest rises are happening in apartment rents, which have risen 10.33 per cent since the climb in rents began at the end of September last year, and 8.1 per cent since the beginning of 2012.

 

 

“This surge in rental prices comes as landlords cover higher finance and other costs, and at a time when there is an increased volume of people seeking the same pool of rental properties, as potential homeowners hold off from purchasing,” said Ms Farhana Hassanali-Hashmani, Property Development Manager at HassConsult.

 

 

“It is a rise that starkly brings home the immediate impact on all Kenyans of the bottleneck caused in building and buying by pushing finance out of reach for many developers and mortgaged homeowners,” she said. Against this backdrop, Hass welcomed wholeheartedly the first move by the CBK to bring down interest rates, with the cut in the base rate last week from 18 per cent to 16.5 per cent. “The prevailing monetary policy has represented a 'closedown' for home developers in a country where we are severely short of good homes,” said Ms Hassanali-Hashmani.

 

 

However, following the decision to cut the frequency of meetings for the Monetary Policy Committee that sets interest rates, to once every two months, HassConsult urged the committee to work as rapidly as possible to bring interest rates down to a more normal and viable level by global standards.

 


“The hope of attracting foreign funds through top-end rates cannot be ignored, but the impact on ordinary Kenyans of hobbling the real estate industry and creating new rent surges must be considered too in the CBK's efforts to maintain exchange rates at their current levels.”

 

 

Also reporting on house prices, HassConsult revealed ongoing stability and even some small gains, with overall closure prices across all types of property rising by 0.5 per cent in the last three months, while asking prices rose by 1.3 per cent. Within this overall figure came some first signs of substantial price growth in standalone houses, where asking prices have risen by 2.7 per cent in the 12 weeks since the end of March, reversing earlier price falls.

 

 

Town houses also continued to record gains in asking prices, by another 1.1 per cent in the last three months, to make for an annual increase of 6.8 per cent – the strongest in any segment in the last year. “With interest rates now down and expected to fall further, and much building shelved, we now forecast greater trends towards house price growth, which are likely to set in for some time before we see any relief in the current rate of rent rises,” said Ms Hassanali-Hashmani.

 

 



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